Wellcome to GaugeMarkets!
Here you can find 1-day forecasts about stocks, major currency pairs, indices, and company valuations
The webpage is mainly divided in six sections:
- FORECASTS: In this tab you can find price and valatility 1-day-forecasts to get a better understanding about short term price dynamics. These forecasts are made using the following machine learning methods(classification and regression approaches): Decision trees; Random forests, and Regressions.
- ANALYSIS: Here you can find the estimated probability of stocks going up the next day at close, the upper and lower bounds based on forecasted volatility. Furthermore, the table offers the 3-day cummulative return to gauge momentum, and the sector of each stock. Finally, you can find the expected distributions of stocks returns.
- MARKET REPORT: Daily, this report shows you the 3-day cummulative returns of the major indexes around the world, summarizes the main market drivers, and presents relevant economics news of the next trading day.
- PORTFOLIO: This tool allows you to play with the forcasts to form a hypothetical portfolio of 5 stocks with 1 day duration.
- VALUATIONS: Using the discounted cash flow method, public companies are valued to offer valuable insights about the fair value a stock. Furthermore, In this section you can find the company description, the current investment thesis, the sector analysis, competitors analysis, risks analysis, and the assumputions employed in the valuation model.
- GM500 INDEX: Based on the machine learning algorithms used to forecasts prices and volatility, GaugeMarkets creates an index aimed to surpass the SPX, while having less volatiltiy.
GaugeMarkets analyzes 606 stocks. 502 of them belong to the SPX index. The remaining are stocks with market capitalization(as of 9/28/2021) greater than $50 billion that belong to the RUSSELL 3000 index.