Welcome To GaugeMarkets

The webpage is mainly divided in six sections:

• FORECASTS: In this section, you'll find 1-day forecasts for both price and volatility, designed to provide deeper insights into short-term market dynamics. These forecasts are generated using machine learning techniques, including both classification and regression methods such as Decision Trees, Random Forests, and Linear Regressions.
• ANALYSIS: This tab presents the estimated probability of each stock closing higher the next trading day, as well as forecasted upper and lower bounds based on volatility projections. Additionally, you’ll find each stock’s 3-day cumulative return to assess momentum, along with sector classifications. The section also includes the expected return distributions for a more comprehensive risk assessment.
• MARKET REPORT: Published daily, this report summarizes the 3-day cumulative performance of major global indices, highlights key market drivers, and previews significant economic events expected to impact the next trading session.
• PORTFOLIO: This interactive tool lets you build a hypothetical portfolio of up to five stocks with a 1-day investment horizon, allowing you to test different forecasting scenarios and strategies.
• VALUATIONS: Utilizing the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method, this section provides fair value estimates for publicly traded companies. You’ll also find detailed company descriptions, current investment theses, sector and competitor analysis, key risks, and the assumptions underlying each valuation model.
• GM500 INDEX: Powered by the same machine learning models used for price and volatility forecasts, the GM500 Index is designed to outperform the S&P 500 while maintaining lower overall volatility.